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Coronavirus Coverage

COVID-19: Implications for Global Business

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has created business disruptions worldwide, spanning across industries from automotive supply chains to oil production. We are constantly monitoring rapidly changing developments surrounding COVID-19 to separate signal from noise and provide the most important insights for your business, now with a centralized hub for all of our analysis.

Check back here regularly as we will be updating this page to reflect the latest news and insights on COVID-19.

Latest COVID-19 Insights

How COVID-19 Will Shape Global Supply Chains

COVID-19 has compounded pressures on global supply chains from trade tensions and rising operating costs and has uncovered a range of supply chain vulnerabilities for multinational companies. However, what companies can actually do about these challenges is more complex than simply reducing dependence on individual countries or reshoring.

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MENA in 2020/2021 Webinar Series: Outlook for Saudi Arabia

Despite the twin crises of COVID-19 and the oil price crash, Saudi Arabia continues to provide the largest opportunity in the Middle East and Africa region for multinational companies across sectors. However, this webinar will help executives evaluate the level of impact of the twin shocks on the Saudi economy’s potential in 2021, the outlook for the kingdom’s reform agenda, and how companies will need to adapt to the continuous changes in the country’s operating landscape.

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MENA in 2020/2021 Webinar Series: Outlook for Egypt

The positive momentum Egypt gained in 2019 has been derailed by COVID-19, but the country continues to have the best growth outlook in the MENA region. In this webinar, DuckerFrontier will provide its outlook on the level of pressure on Egypt’s economy, drivers of growth and business opportunities in the country, and the key actions executives can take to mitigate Egypt’s rising challenges.

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Four-step process for evaluating e-commerce decisions in the context of COVID-19

As global leadership teams face unprecedented uncertainty, many are seeking to evaluate how their business needs to adapt today to the world that will emerge following the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond.  As consumers have been unable to leave their homes due to containment measures—certain shopping locations have closed, and shopping at some locations has become time consuming and challenging due to social distancing measures—consumers globally have turned to e-commerce as an alternative.

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How to Win in Sub-Saharan Africa’s “Next Normal” – Navigating COVID-19 While Planning for the Recovery

In Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) the onset and spread of COVID-19 is happening later than in other regions. While SSA’s climatic and demographic features means the spread will not necessarily mirror patterns seen elsewhere, what is certain is that cases and fatalities will rise. Governments are implementing tough rules to slow the spread of COVID-19, and businesses should expect containment measures to impact customer demand and supply chains.

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Asia Pacific in 2021: Preparing for an Uncertain Future

Earlier this week, DuckerFrontier’s Asia Pacific research team hosted an interactive webinar on how Asia’s business environment will shift in the coming year. The webinar includes selected topics being raised in strategic planning sessions across industries (e.g., pressure to localize supply chains, the future of US-China tensions) so that you can pressure test your assumptions and use the information to align expectations across your organization.

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COVID-19’s Impact on the Automotive Aftermarket, Post-COVID Growth Drivers and Market Shifts

The pre-COVID automotive aftermarket trajectory was a steady upward trend post-Great Recession in line with the growing number of vehicles in operation, aging car parc and increased annual miles driven per vehicle. Regardless of automotive OEM production levels, U.S. vehicles in operation (VIO) have continued to increase, largely due to increased average age of vehicles over the last ten years, increased vehicle ownership rates and general population growth dynamics.

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Private Equity 360 Video | M&A Trends Discussion with DuckerFrontier

With the world on pause because of COVID-19, what happened to planned mergers & acquisitions (M&A) during this time? Bob Woosley, National Practice Leader – Private Equity at Frazier & Deeter sat down to interview DuckerFrontier Managing Principal, Scott Ulnick, and Managing Director, Jim Devlin.

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US Infrastructure – State Level Analysis of the Impact of COVID-19

DuckerFrontier first analyzed the impact of Covid-19 on the infrastructure industry in May in its report US Infrastructure Expected to Fare Well in the Post-Pandemic Environment. Since then, the Building and Construction team has continued to analyze the impact at a state level to help companies continue to determine what’s ahead for the infrastructure sector

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This week on COVID-19: Chinese policy toward Hong Kong creates new risks

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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WSJ and DuckerFrontier Webinar – Strategies for Recovery as European Markets Reopen

Countries across Europe are taking very different approaches to rolling back restrictions imposed during the pandemic. As the continent’s economies ease their lockdowns, what will the recovery look like and what strategies should executives employ to ensure their companies are best positioned to benefit?

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This week on COVID-19: Economic slowdowns changes US Election Outlook

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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Preparing Your Business for the B2B Sharing Economy in Construction

Since the inception of the “Sharing Economy” by companies like Airbnb and Uber to the successful BlaBlaCar and Getaround (ex. Drivy) in Europe, sharing owned assets has become commonplace for many consumers. This trend is now making headway in B2B markets, particularly in the construction industry.

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North American automakers and suppliers return to work amidst uncertainty

The Detroit 3 (FCA, Ford, GM) and their international counterparts and suppliers with manufacturing and assembly in North America have started to return to life this week after a two-month lockdown due to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19).

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Analytical framework for navigating COVID-19 impacts

How governments “dance” with COVID-19 will determine the need for and economic cost of social distancing measures (SDMs), but it is only one of the four variables that will explain economic trajectory over the next few years. We see three other factors that companies should take into account as they try to calculate the timing and strength of market rebound.

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This week on COVID-19: Expect a rocky path to recovery

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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Heavy Equipment Growth Post-Pandemic and Into 2021

Once society begins to reopen, there will be a large backlog of work to complete, especially within the residential and commercial construction sectors. The heavy equipment demand is likely to rebound quickly to accommodate increased activity; however, we anticipate some barriers that will limit the market’s ability to quickly normalize.

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Europe: Adapting to Life After the Lockdown

Across Europe, countries are gradually removing restrictions or have announced plans to start doing so in order to begin reviving the economy. Certain countries will see a quicker and better recovery than others. From UK to Germany to Poland to Russia, each country will recover at a different pace with varying implications for business. What will the reopening look like and how should businesses respond?

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WSJ and DuckerFrontier Webinar – Emerging Shock: Multinationals’ Rapidly Evolving Post-Pandemic Plans for Growth Markets

The coronavirus pandemic has disrupted supply chains, stopped major economies in their tracks and thrown markets into turmoil. As multinational companies reassess how they will do business in a radically changed world many are considering reshaping their global footprints, throwing into question their investments in the emerging markets they had previously seen as powerful growth engines.

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Latin America Country Webinar Series – Navigating COVID-19 and Post-Pandemic Scenarios

DuckerFrontier’s Latin America research team is currently offering a series of webinars exploring the volatile economic environments of seven countries across the region amid the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Here you can find information on each of the country-specific webinars.

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The global shutdown is slowing, but not stopping the heavy equipment industry

Throughout the nationwide shutdowns due to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, DuckerFrontier has been speaking with heavy equipment dealers and end users to gain insights into the current state of the market and predict where the market is headed post-pandemic.

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How Asia’s healthcare landscape is adapting after COVID-19

Asia is currently confronting a second wave of COVID-19 infections and a deepening global recession that will batter its populations and severely weaken public finances. Many executives across industries expect sales to start picking up in Q3, though executives are facing significant uncertainty around demand planning, engagement models, supply chains, and strategic planning, likely through the rest of 2020.

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APAC’s Healthcare Outlook in the Year of the Coronavirus

DuckerFrontier recently held a webinar to help multinational clients understand the implications of COVID-19 on Asia Pacific (APAC) markets. Major markets around the globe will fall into contractionary territory this year, with significant implications for APAC’s economy.

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US Infrastructure Expected to Fare Well in the Post-Pandemic Environment

When compared to residential and nonresidential building construction, infrastructure is expected to emerge from the COVID-19 pandemic with minor disruptions. Our experts dive into the North American post-pandemic infrastructure environment.

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Five planning tools for the world after COVID-19

Our global economics experts evaluated and adapted which planning tools can support executive teams looking to assess the impact of COVID-19 on their business and build scenarios for how their operating environment will evolve, as well as key actions to take to begin this process.

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This week on COVID-19: Emerging markets struggle amid increasing pressures from COVID-19

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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Is Automation the Key to Supply Chain Stability in a Post-COVID-19 Environment?

Manufacturers across industries have shut down amid the COVID-19 pandemic, with many refocusing their efforts on producing medical supplies and personal protection equipment such as ventilators and masks to help fill the need for these products across the healthcare sector. As we adapt to the “new normal” during these uncertain times, businesses are scrambling to implement automation into the regular workflow and business applications.

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APAC’s Consumer Landscape in the Year of the Coronavirus

DuckerFrontier recently held a webinar to help multinational clients understand the implications of COVID-19 on Asia Pacific (APAC) markets. Major markets around the globe will fall into contractionary territory this year, with significant implications for APAC’s economy.

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Strong Order Backlog and Essential Business Label to Help Building & Construction Industry Navigate COVID-19

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has not yet showed signs of slowing down in North America, causing major disruptions as cities and states halt business operations across industries, primarily in the global automotive space. The construction industry, however, still sees some pockets of opportunities as many construction sites continue to operate and we see a temporary spike in healthcare construction.

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WSJ and DuckerFrontier Webinar – What will the post-pandemic world look like?

Even as the number of coronavirus cases continues to grow strongly, companies are beginning to plan for a potential recovery, uncertain what the world will look like as the pandemic subsides. Where are the opportunities, what are the biggest hazards, how will the consumer and corporate landscapes have changed—and what, if anything, will return to normal?

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The Perfect Storm: COVID-19 and Recent Oil Pricing War Leads to Stock Market Crash – What Your Business Needs to Know

The combination of the COVID-19 outbreak and the recent oil pricing war between Saudi Arabia and Russia has created business disruptions worldwide, most recently with a stock market crash following the plunge in oil prices after Saudi Arabia slashed crude oil prices over the weekend. We explore the immediate and long-term business impacts in The Perfect Storm: COVID-19 and Recent Oil Pricing War Leads to Stock Market Crash – What Your Business Needs to Know.

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Ethiopia’s COVID-19 Response: DuckerFrontier’s market risk analysis featured in Bloomberg

William Attwell, Practice Leader for DuckerFrontier’s Sub-Saharan Africa research practice, was recently interviewed by Bloomberg about Ethiopia’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the likely market risks facing companies there in 2020.

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APAC’s B2B Industry Landscape in the Year of the Coronavirus

Earlier this week, DuckerFrontier held a webinar to help multinational clients understand the implications of COVID-19 on Asia Pacific (APAC) markets. Major markets around the globe will fall into contractionary territory this year, with significant implications for APAC’s economy. Watch the recording to learn more about the B2B outlook for Asia in 2020, with deep dives on China, India, and Southeast Asia.

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This week on COVID-19: Coronavirus continues to pressure markets as stimulus packages are announced

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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WSJ and DuckerFrontier Webinar – Navigating coronavirus-driven disruption as China gets back to work

As China’s factories slowly ramp up production again some of the constraints on global supply chains are easing, but the challenges for managers continue to multiply. Lockdowns in many of the world’s key markets are making business planning more difficult than ever, and with the impact of disruption from coronavirus moving quickly up the supply chain, multinational company executives are switching their strategic planning focus from China to the rest of their portfolio.

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[Webinar Recap] EMEA in 2020: What MNCs Should Plan For

In this webinar, EMEA in 2020: What MNCs Should Plan For, DuckerFrontier’s EMEA research team shares our revised expectations for the region as a whole and individual major markets, as well as a perspective on the timing of a recovery and the impact across major segments and industries during the remainder of 2020.

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This week on COVID-19: Governments struggle to respond to COVID-19 and the economy

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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Current United States Macroeconomic Outlook – April 1, 2020

Following the longest period of U.S. economic expansion in history, the United States is now expected to enter a significant recession as the U.S. is primarily a consumer-driven economy. Download an executive summary of DuckerFrontier’s current United States Macroeconomic Outlook for 2020 report to help you identify potential pain points and pockets of opportunity for your business through the remainder of 2020 and what you can do to navigate the changing environment.

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COVID-19’s Impact on the Healthcare Industry – During the Crisis and Beyond

While the extraordinary impact of COVID-19 is becoming increasingly clear for societies and economies across the world, the impacts on healthcare systems—and the healthcare companies that supply them—are varied by company, time period, and often by geography. Understanding the variations, timeframes, and geographic differences will be crucial for healthcare company executives. Healthcare Director, Stephen Majors, shares an in-depth analysis into the short-, medium-, and long-term impacts of the virus on the healthcare industry.

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[Scenario Planning Webinar] Prepare for Impact of COVID-19 in LATAM’s Economic Performance

Last week, DuckerFrontier held a webinar to help multinational clients understand the implications of COVID-19 on LATAM’s economic performance. The presentation covered the assumptions underpinning our base case forecasts to help build a clear narrative and signposts to watch for easier internal communication. Managing Director for Latin America Research, Pablo Gonzalez, also explored how other multinationals are reacting to the current COVID-19 outbreak to protect their business in the region, reset their strategies, and redefine targets and priorities.

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Pharma CI Virtual Conference: Adapting to the Coronavirus Era

Pharma CI, in partnership with DuckerFrontier, held a virtual event in lieu of the live conference in Zurich, which has been moved to November 5-6. In this 90-minute presentation, our panel of healthcare executives and experts shared the adaptations healthcare companies are making in the face of the coronavirus pandemic, and steps to mitigate business risk.

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This week on COVID-19: Recession concerns pressure major markets’ ability to act fast

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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WSJ and DuckerFrontier Webinar – How companies can adjust to global disruptions caused by coronavirus

In this recorded webinar in partnership with the Wall Street Journal, Martina Bozadzhieva, DuckerFrontier’s Head of Research, Martina Bozadzhieva, and Ryan Connelly, Practice Leader for Global Economics and Scenarios discuss with WSJ’s Frontier Markets editor, Dan Keeler, how multinationals are adjusting to the global disruptions caused by coronavirus, China’s slowdown, and the oil price crash.

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COVID-19 and Global Automotive Supply Chain Disruptions

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has created business disruptions worldwide, spanning the automotive industry from the Detroit three automakers (General Motors, Ford, Fiat-Chrysler) to tier suppliers, leaving many in the industry grappling with the lasting impact to their businesses. We are constantly monitoring rapidly changing developments surrounding COVID-19 to separate signal from noise and provide the most important insights for your business, now with a centralized hub for all of our analysis.

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This week on COVID-19: Companies should start preparing for a global recession

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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As Coronavirus Clampdown Widens, IOC Presses Ahead to Tokyo from The Wall Street Journal

We recently revised down Japan’s GDP growth in 2020 to -0.5% YOY on the back of significant export disruptions as well as expected shortfalls in domestic investment and consumption. However, risks tilt toward the downside due to the potential for postponing the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games. Firms should expect a further contraction in Japan’s economy unless COVID-19 cases plateau globally by mid Q2.

Commentary from Martina Bozadzhieva, Head of Research

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Revised Global Outlook: A year of disruptions from COVID-19

As the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic continues to spread and impact global markets, DuckerFrontier has revised down our expectations for growth around the world. The slowdown in global growth will have ripple effects across a range of markets, hampering multinationals’ ability to hit targets for 2020 and upending corporate forecasts and business plans for the year.

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EU Plans to Ban Entry at Its Borders, But Barriers Rise Within Block from The Wall Street Journal

EU’s foreign travel ban and WEUR’s lockdowns will hurt European international and domestic tourism. The slump in tourism means that 10% of EU’s GDP and of total employment will be lost from March to May, if the outbreak is contained by H1. Firms should assess the impact of the coronavirus on their sales and shift to e-commerce sales, which are projected to record positive performance in 2020.

Commentary from Athanasia Kokkinogeni, Senior Analyst, Western Europe

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This Week in The Lens: Major Market Updates Reveal Sharp Downward Growth Revisions

Access this week’s edition of The Lens with research on the potential impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on the global economy and business environment Subscribe today to receive the latest insights on COVID-19 business impacts in your inbox every Thursday.

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U.S. Coronavirus Cases Top 1,000 from The Wall Street Journal

The spread of coronavirus across the US will lead to a rolling series of state-level work disruptions and consumer behavioral changes, hitting consumer services in March and April. Weaker trade and domestic investment due to the oil price collapse and financial volatility will hit domestic manufacturing. We have substantially revised down our US outlook to account for these changes.

Commentary from Ryan Connelly, Practice Leader for Global Economics and Scenarios

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Q1 Global Leadership Briefing Executive Summary

For more information on how COVID-19 could impact your business, download an executive summary of our Q1 Global Leadership Briefing or purchase the full report from our online store.

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What Coronavirus Means for Multinationals’ Plans in 2020

In DuckerFrontier’s latest webinar, What Coronavirus Means for Multinationals’ Plans in 2020, our experts explore scenarios for how the coronavirus could affect China’s economy over the coming months, and implications for multinationals across different geographies, customer segments, and operational challenges firms are likely to face.

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What Coronavirus Means for the North American Automotive Industry

Will the COVID-19 outbreak have a lasting impact on global automotive industry production? That is the question we seek to answer in our latest post, What the Coronavirus Means for the North American Automotive Industry. DuckerFrontier’s automotive industry experts outline the risks that could have the largest impact on your business.

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Coronavirus Outbreak Imperils the Global Economy

After a weak 2019 for most regions, driven in large part by weak Chinese import demand, 2020 was expected to be a recovery year for the global economy. But the coronavirus outbreak has already led to a significant downward revision to our China growth forecasts for 2020, from 5.9% to 5.4%—and that is assuming China is able to control the outbreak. Read our post on how the Coronavirus Outbreak Imperils the Global Economy.

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Subscribe to The Lens

Our team of analysts are conducting additional research into the coronavirus’ impact on China’s economy and the business environment. Subscribe to The Lens, our weekly newsletter covering the latest global events, for the most up-to-date coverage on COVID-19.

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Our Experts in the Media

Explore insights from our analysts worldwide on how COVID-19 is impacting your key regions.

Ramiro Sugranes on El Colombiano: La mala hora de las remesas en Colombia y el mundo

Ramiro Sugranes on El Colombiano: Pistas de un difícil segundo trimestre económico

Alejandro Valerio on El Economista: Recuperación absoluta de la economía mexicana hasta 2023

Athanasia Kokkinogeni on CNBC: Greece spent 10 years thinking that things couldn’t get any worse, then the coronavirus hit

Alejandro Valerio on El Economista: Fondos de inversión deberán vender títulos de Pemex

Alejandro Valerio on El Economista: Anticipan más recortes tras rebaja de Moody’s al soberano

Alejandro Valerio on El Economista: DuckerFrontier prevé caída de 9.5% del PIB de México en 2020, de la mano de Estados Unidos

Alejandro Valerio on El Economista: Banxico cuenta con más de 240,000 mdd de reservas y LCF

William Attwell on Channels Television: What We Should Expect From Global Economy Amid Coronavirus Outbreak

Athanasia Kokkinogeni on CNBC: How bad could it get? Economists predict how the coronavirus could hurt the global economy

Martina Bozadzhieva on CNBC: Coronavirus could trigger a worrying psychological change in US consumers, economist says

William Attwell on CNBC Africa: Why this analyst is forecasting a global recession amid COVID-19 outbreak

William Attwell on CNBC Africa: Global economy: Coronavirus impact on growth

Alejandro Valerio on El Economista: Recesión inminente en México, por segundo año consecutivo: analistas

Athanasia Kokkinogeni on CNBC: 12 years after Lehman, European banks face a new credit crisis

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