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2019 Global Outlook

Joel Backaler, September 25, 2018

$ 975.00

In 2019, the world economy will enter a third straight year of broad-based global growth. A combination of rising global interest rates and ongoing trade protectionism will continue to create unexpected turbulence, but is unlikely to derail the ongoing global expansion. Learn what your business should be prepared for.

Overview, Table of Contents & Sample Pages below

Overview

In 2019, the world economy will enter a third straight year of broad-based global growth. A combination of rising global interest rates and ongoing trade protectionism will continue to create unexpected turbulence, but is unlikely to derail the ongoing global expansion.

Developed markets will grow at a slower rate in 2019 as inflationary pressures lead to the first convergent monetary policy tightening in more than a decade.

Higher global interest rates will create new challenges for heavily indebted governments, firms, and households across the world. Emerging markets will provide opportunities for faster growth, but each market faces its own set of operational challenges.

Management priorities include adapting pricing strategies to fit local market conditions; building resilience into global operations to mitigate the impact of trade tensions, currency, and debt shocks; and preparing for the eventual end of the business cycle.

What you will learn

  • What is the global business outlook for 2019
  • Which regions will perform the best (Asia, North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Commonwealth of Independent States, Middle East, Africa)
  • How should executives prepare for likely scenarios and disruptors of global performance

What you will receive

  • Immediate access to the 81-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary4
  • Global Outlook for 20195
  •   2019: Third Straight Year of Global Growth6
  •   But 2019 is a Year of Economic Transition7
  •   US Recession not Expected in 20198
  •   EM Growth Drivers are More Balanced9
  •   Commodity Prices Will Remain Stable10
  •   Oil Prices Will Remain Rangebound11
  •   Consumer Demand Remains Strong12
  •   The Inflation Picture Will be Healthier13
  •   Central Banks Will Tighten Liquidity14
  •   Gradual Interest Rate Tightening Continues15
  •   The US Dollar’s Strength Will Begin to Fade16
  •   Policy Shifts Could Disrupt 2019 Plans17
  •   Rising Rates Will Lead to Funding Concerns18
  •   Currency Shocks Will Continue in 201919
  •   Higher Risk of FX Crisis in Certain Markets20
  •   US Trade Tensions Across the World21
  •   Trade Growth is Expected to Continue22
  •   “America First” Protectionist Approach23
  •   Chinese Policy Priorities24
  •   Macroeconomic Sensitivity to Trade Wars25
  • Global and Regional Overviews26
  •   DuckerFrontier View on the Global Economy in 201927
  •   Global Growth Continues But Decelerates28
  •   Rich Markets Offer Most Market Opportunity29
  •   DuckerFrontier View on Asia Pacific30
  •   APAC: New Risks to Manage in 201931
  •   DuckerFrontier View on North America32
  •   NAM: NAFTA Renegotiation Clouds Outlook33
  •   DuckerFrontier View on Latin America34
  •   LATAM: Converging Growth Rates35
  •   DuckerFrontier View on Western Europe36
  •   WEUR: Momentum Could Fade Further37
  •   DuckerFrontier View on Central Europe38
  •   Ce: Growth Continues Into 201939
  •   DuckerFrontier View on CIS40
  •   CIS: The Region Continues to Recover41
  •   DuckerFrontier View on the Middle East and North Africa42
  •   MENA: Economies Adjust to the new Normal 43
  •   DuckerFrontier View on Sub-Saharan Africa44
  •   SSA: demand will grow across the region45
  • Strategic Priorities for 201946
  •   Plans Require Alignment and Resilience47
  •   Strategic Priorities for 201948
  •   Pressure-Test Your Market Portfolio49
  •   Localizing is a Strategic Imperative50
  •   Localization Pressures Will Increase51
  •   Develop a Localization Strategy52
  •   A Comprehensive Digitalization Strategy53
  •   Digital Customer Engagement is Vital54
  •   Digitization Disrupts Value Chains55
  •   Reassess Drivers of Competitive Advantage56
  •   A Digital Prioritization Framework57
  •   Multiple Factors are Driving the use of VAS58
  •   VAS Present Several Profit-Driving Levers59
  •   Future-Proof Your Value Proposition60
  •   Pricing has Become Exceptionally Complex 61
  •   Internal Pricing Processes Fall Short62-63
  •   FX Management Should be 2019 Priority64
  •   Align FX Strategies With Overall Objectives65
  •   Market-Monitoring Processes66
  •   Design Forward-Looking Dashboards67
  •   Align Monitoring With Review Cadence68
  •   Document Assumptions and Risks to Plan69
  •   Scenario Analysis Makes Sense of Many Risks70
  •   Scenario-Planning Processes71
  •   The Business Case for Contingency Planning72
  •   Contingency-Planning Process73
  • Scenarios and Disruptors of Global Performance74
  •   2019 Offers a Diverse Range of Disruptors75
  •   Events to Watch Methodology76
  •   Assess Potential Impact on Business77
  •   Global Events to Watch For 201978
  •   Global Events are Interconnected79
  •   2019 Global and Regional Disruptive Events80
  • About DuckerFrontier81

Sample Pages

DuckerFrontier is a market intelligence and consulting firm that provides tailored solutions to drive growth for clients across the B2B, healthcare, consumer, and technology sectors. Our dedicated teams serve as advisers to clients, delivering the market and industry knowledge they need to succeed at all points in the business cycle. Continuous research & insights, custom solutions, and transaction support services provide clients with timely, actionable insights to adapt and win in changing markets. The company is headquartered in Washington, DC, with offices in Troy, Mich., New York, London, Paris, Berlin, Singapore, Shanghai, and Bangalore. For more information, please visit www.duckerfrontier.com.

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