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Colombia 2022: Outlook and Scenarios

Grace Fuselier, August 1, 2019

$ 975.00

A comprehensive overview of how to stay ahead in a changing landscape following consequential elections. You will learn key challenges Duque’s administration must address, sector-specific business implications, and Colombia’s long-term outlook.

Overview, Table of Contents & Sample Pages below

Overview

Following one of the most consequential elections in Colombia’s modern history, the right-wing technocrat, Iván Duque, was elected as the nation’s 33rd president. Duque ran an ambitious campaign promising to revive sluggish growth, revise the peace accord with the FARC rebel group, and diversify the oil-reliant economy. However, the administration has inherited a long list of challenges and fragmented congressional power that will create major obstacles and limits to achieving these objectives. Duque’s administration is expected to have moderate success reviving growth through business-friendly reforms, but many of the gravest challenges will require ongoing political commitment beyond the president’s term. Ultimately, Duque’s presidency holds key implications for the future of Colombia’s economic performance and business opportunities, both in the short and long terms.

What you will learn

  • The role of organizational design in strategic planning
  • Organizational footprint trends in Latin America
  • Actions for multinationals to take to succeed in global markets

What you will receive

  • Immediate access to the 47-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary4
  •   How to Read This Report5
  • Setting the Context: Duque Inherits the Santos Legacy6-12
  •   Iván Duque Won a Polarizing Election7
  •   Duque Inherits a Weak Economy8
  •   Meet Duque’s Technocratic Team9-10
  •   Other Essential Figures in Duque’s Team11
  •   Multinationals are Reprioritizing Colombia12
  • Key Challenges Duque’s Administration Must Address13-32
  •   Oil Prices Complicate Growth Challenges14
  •   Key Growth Challenges to Tackle15
  •   Challenge 1: Mounting Fiscal Pressures16
  •   Duque Will Struggle to Meet Fiscal Targets17
  •   Challenge 2: Lack of Consensus on Peace18
  •   Major Peace Revisions Will Not Be Made19
  •   Challenge 3: Lackluster Investment20
  •   Investment Will Pick Up Under Duque21
  •   Challenge 4: Weak Internal Demand22
  •   Fiscal Reform Will Restrain Consumption23
  •   Challenge 5: Undiversified External Sector24
  •   Extractive Sector Policies Will Lift Exports25
  •   Challenge 6: Venezuela Creates Pressures26
  •   The Crisis Will Further Overwhelm Colombia27
  •   Challenge 7: Shifts in Global Risk Appetite28
  •   Global Conditions Will Weigh on Growth29
  •   Challenges Meet Fragile Political Capital30
  •   Voting Coalitions Matter Most for Duque31
  •   Market Disruptors Should Not Be Ignored32
  • Colombia’s Economic Outlook and 2019-2022 Scenarios33-35
  •   Colombia 2019-2022 Scenarios34-35
  • Business Implications36-40
  •   Industry Impacts of Key Trends: Consumer37
  •   Industry Impacts of Key Trends: Healthcare38
  •   Industry Impacts of Key Trends: Industrials39
  •   Industry Impacts of Key Trends: Technology40
  • Long-Term Outlook41-43
  •   Structural Hurdles Will Dictate Growth42
  •   Colombia Presents Long-Term Opportunities43
  • About DuckerFrontier44

Sample Pages

DuckerFrontier is a market intelligence and consulting firm that provides tailored solutions to drive growth for clients across the B2B, healthcare, consumer, and technology sectors. Our dedicated teams serve as advisers to clients, delivering the market and industry knowledge they need to succeed at all points in the business cycle. Continuous research & insights, custom solutions, and transaction support services provide clients with timely, actionable insights to adapt and win in changing markets. The company is headquartered in Washington, DC, with offices in Troy, Mich., New York, London, Paris, Berlin, Singapore, Shanghai, and Bangalore. For more information, please visit www.duckerfrontier.com.

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