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Global Leadership Briefing | Q1 2020

Grace Fuselier, February 12, 2020

$ 1,997.00

A comprehensive overview of the current global economic landscape. You will learn the key areas of focus through 2020 and how to win in your most important markets.

Overview, Table of Contents & Sample Pages below

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Overview

After a weak 2019 for most regions, driven in large part by weak Chinese import demand, 2020 was expected to be a recovery year for the global economy. But the coronavirus outbreak has already led to a significant downward revision to our China growth forecasts for 2020, from 5.9% to 5.4%—and that is assuming China is able to control the outbreak. The slowdown in China in 2020 imperils the global economy in 2020, though the impact will be felt differently across regions. For major commodity exports of oil and cyclical metals, weaker Chinese demand will lead to some combination of higher inventories, production cuts, and lower prices. For exporters of manufactured goods into China or in related supply chains—mainly an issue in APAC, Western Europe, and CEE—weaker exports will lead to ongoing price pressures and continued weakness in industrial production due to a slower-than-expected rate of inventory depletion. Firms need to adjust 2020 plans for the slowdown in China and the ripple effects across the global economy, and prepare contingency plans should the coronavirus outbreak prove difficult to control.

What you will learn

  • 2020 global macroeconomic forecasts
  • Global events to watch to manage risks and opportunities
  • Actions for multinationals to take to win globally

What you will receive

  • Immediate access to the 34-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary3
  •   Overview of This Report4
  • 2020 Forecasts: Global Macroeconomic Outlook5
  •   Global Macroeconomic Outlook6
  •   Global Macro Drivers7
  •   FX Outlook: Risk Perception is Harming EM Currencies8
  •   Major Forecast Revisions9
  • Pulse of the Market: On-The-Ground Executive Insights10
  •   North America11
  •   Latin America12
  •   Asia Pacific13
  •   Western Europe14
  •   Central and Eastern Europe15
  •   Middle East and North Africa16
  •   Sub-Saharan Africa17
  • Events to Watch: Risk and Opportunity Scenario Tracking18
  •   2020 Events to Watch: Updates Since Publication19
  • Special Topic: Chinese Import Demand After Phase 1 and Coronavirus20
  •   Expect Major Changes to Chinese Import Demand in 202021
  •   Phase 1 Deal Temporarily Alleviates US-China Tensions22
  •   US Exports From China to Increase After Phase 1 Deal23
  •   To Increase US Imports, China Will Import Less Elsewhere24
  •   Evaluating Coronavirus’ Impact on China’s GDP25
  •   Impact on China From Coronavirus: Scenarios Overview26
  •   Weaker Chinese Growth Weakens Global Trade Outlook27
  •   Assessing the Impact of the Twin China Shocks in 202028
  •   Assessing the Impact by Category of Trade Goods29
  • Actions to Take: Q4 Agenda for Multinationals30
  •   Q1 International Action Items for Headquarters31
  •   Scenario Analysis Makes Sense of Many Risks32
  •   Next Steps for You and Your Teams33
  • About DuckerFrontier34

Sample Pages

DuckerFrontier is a market intelligence and consulting firm that provides tailored solutions to drive growth for clients across the B2B, healthcare, consumer, and technology sectors. Our dedicated teams serve as advisers to clients, delivering the market and industry knowledge they need to succeed at all points in the business cycle. Continuous research & insights, custom solutions, and transaction support services provide clients with timely, actionable insights to adapt and win in changing markets. The company is headquartered in Washington, DC, with offices in Troy, Mich., New York, London, Paris, Berlin, Singapore, Shanghai, and Bangalore. For more information, please visit www.duckerfrontier.com.

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