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Saudi Arabia 2020 Outlook & Scenarios

Joel Backaler, October 18, 2017

$ 1,997.00

Everything you need to know about doing business in Saudi Arabia leading up to 2020. Learn what to expect, including key scenarios to monitor with signposts to watch.

Overview, Table of Contents & Sample Pages below


Saudi Arabia is one of EMEA’s top emerging markets, but the country faces a tough road as it attempts to implement an extraordinarily ambitious economic transformation plan. With external macroeconomic headwinds and serious demographic pressures, there is no turning back.

Regardless of whether the authorities can achieve their 2030 goals, their attempts at reform will impact business performance in the kingdom. DuckerFrontier believes that Saudi Arabia will largely remain on track with its reform plans, but it will be an incremental process: we only expect average annual GDP growth of 2% YOY between 2017 and 2020.

In the context of such a dramatic economic transformation, businesses will need to significantly adjust expectations for the market. Companies that prioritize localization, market share gains, and operational excellence will be in a position to outmaneuver competitors.

What you will learn

  • What is the outlook for doing business in Saudi Arabia
  • How will the upcoming reforms impact the business environment
  • Learn about the key events that could disrupt Saudi Arabia’s outlook

What you will receive

  • Immediate access to the 40-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary4
  • Understanding Saudi Arabia’s Trajectory5
  •   Saudi Arabia Is a Top MENA Market for MNCs …6
  •   … But Its Oil Dependece Can’t Be Maintained7
  •   Demographic Pressures Create Urgency8
  •   External Headwinds Cannot Be Ignored9
  •   Regime Must Manage Numerous Risks10
  • Preparing for Saudi Reforms11
  •   The Government is Committed to Reforms12
  •   Adapt Business to Changes in the Kingdom13
  •   Increasing Non-Oil Revenues14-15
  •   VAT Scenarios16
  •   Budget Reform: Subsidy Reductions17-18
  •   Rationalize Expenditures19-20
  •   Privatization21-22
  •   Targeting the Growth of Key New Sectors23-24
  •   Easing the Business Environment25-26
  •   Rising Localization Pressures27-28
  • Saudi Arabia 2020: Scenarios Overview29
  •   Saudi Arabia 2020: Scenarios Overview30
  •   Base Case: Modest Growth31
  •   Downside: Economy Stalls32
  •   Upside: Outperforming Expectations33
  • Key Events Could Disrupt Saudi Arabia’s Outlook34
  •   Key Disruptors to Saudi Arabia’s Outlook35
  •   Oil Stabilizes Below US$ 30/BBL.36
  •   Oil Price Increase Detracts Reform Agenda37
  •   Break of Royal-US Dollar Peg38
  •   Political Instability Disrupts Business39
  • About DuckerFrontier40

Sample Pages

Regime Must Manage Risks

Cant be maintained

Saudi Base Case

DuckerFrontier is a market intelligence and consulting firm that provides tailored solutions to drive growth for clients across the B2B, healthcare, consumer, and technology sectors. Our dedicated teams serve as advisers to clients, delivering the market and industry knowledge they need to succeed at all points in the business cycle. Continuous research & insights, custom solutions, and transaction support services provide clients with timely, actionable insights to adapt and win in changing markets. The company is headquartered in Washington, DC, with offices in Troy, Mich., New York, London, Paris, Berlin, Singapore, Shanghai, and Bangalore. For more information, please visit www.duckerfrontier.com.

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