Precise. Relevant. Essential.

Turkey 2023: Scenarios & Outlook

Joel Backaler, May 3, 2018

$ 1,997.00

Learn critical information businesses need to incorporate into their long-term strategy and planning for Turkey.

Overview, Table of Contents & Sample Pages below


Turkey will remain an attractive market in multinational companies’ emerging Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) portfolios in the next five years. Consumer, business, and public-sector demand will grow moderately, creating opportunities but not buoying easy revenue growth for firms.

High costs, competitive pressures, and foreign exchange volatility will be key components of the business environment. While they focus on capturing short-term opportunities in a complex operating environment, businesses must also take the necessary actions now to build the long-term resilience of their Turkey businesses.

A plethora of economic and political pressures since 2015 and the prioritization of high growth in 2017 weakened Turkey’s macroeconomic fundamentals, increasing its vulnerability to a slowdown in the economy and/or a liquidity crunch in the next five years.

What you will learn

  • What does the long-term outlook and operating environment in Turkey look like
  • Which scenarios should companies be monitoring (base-,downside-,upside cases)
  • What are the 8 disruptors every business should be prepared for

What you will receive

  • Immediate access to the 53-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary4
  • Contents5
  • Understanding Turkey’s Trajectory6
  •   Turkey Benefitted From The Last Decades7
  •   Economy Has Been Under Pressure Since 20158
  •   The Government Boosted Growth in 20179
  •   Financial Buffers Buy Turkey Time10
  •   MNCs Must Outperform the Market11-12
  •   Build Resilience Against External Risks13
  • Long-Term Demand Outlook for MNCS14
  •   2023: Outlook for Consumers 15-16
  •   2023: Outlook for the Public Sector17-18
  •   2023: Outlook for the Private Sector19-21
  • Long-Term Outlook for the Operating Environment22
  •   2023: Outlook for Producer Prices23
  •   2023: Outlook for the Exchange Rate24
  •   2023: Outlook for Government Incentives25
  • Turkey 2023: Long-Term Economic Resilience26
  •   Turkey’s Economic Sustainability27
  •   Sustainability of Government Finances 28
  •   Monetary Policy Effectiveness29
  •   Banking Sector Strength30
  •   Corporate Debt31
  •   Corporate Debt Focus: Real Estate Sector32
  •   Sustainability of Consumer Debt33
  •   Domestic Political Stability34
  •   Exposure to External Shocks35
  • Turkey 2023: Scenarios Overview36
  •   Turkey 2023: Scenarios Overview37
  •   Base Case: Moderate and Volatile Growth38
  •   Downside: Sustained Slowdown39
  •   Upside: Stable Growth40
  • Disruptors to Turkey’s Trajectory41
  •   Key Disruptors to Turkey’s Outlook42
  •   Disruptor 1: Oil Price Collapse43
  •   Disruptor 2: Oil Supply Shock44
  •   Disruptor 3: Eurozone Growth Sagnates45
  •   Disruptor 4: US Sanctions46
  •   Disruptor 5: EU Sanctions47
  •   Disruptor 6: Disputed Election Results48
  •   Disruptor 7: Kurdish Region in Syria49
  •   Disruptor 8: Economy Falls Into Crisis 50
  • Actions to take for the long term51
  •   Key Actions to Take for the Long Term52
  • About DuckerFrontier53

Sample Pages

Turkey Economy Under Pressure

Turkey Build Resilience Against External Risks

DuckerFrontier is a market intelligence and consulting firm that provides tailored solutions to drive growth for clients across the B2B, healthcare, consumer, and technology sectors. Our dedicated teams serve as advisers to clients, delivering the market and industry knowledge they need to succeed at all points in the business cycle. Continuous research & insights, custom solutions, and transaction support services provide clients with timely, actionable insights to adapt and win in changing markets. The company is headquartered in Washington, DC, with offices in Troy, Mich., New York, London, Paris, Berlin, Singapore, Shanghai, and Bangalore. For more information, please visit www.duckerfrontier.com.

Work With DuckerFrontier

Ready to deliver better outcomes for your business with us by your side?

Get Started